Optimism Bias

Today, we’re talking about the Optimism Bias.

Optimism bias is the tendency for individuals to overestimate the likelihood of positive outcomes for themselves while underestimating the likelihood of negative events. This cognitive bias often stems from a desire to maintain a positive outlook and to avoid confronting negative emotions.

For instance, imagine a person who has just begun taking dance classes. They may harbour an overly optimistic view of their chances of becoming a professional dancer, believing they possess natural talent and will quickly excel. In their enthusiasm, they might downplay the considerable challenges and hard work required to achieve their goals, focusing instead on the excitement and joy that dancing brings.

In this example, the individual is demonstrating optimism bias by overestimating their chances of success and minimising the potential difficulties they will face along the way. While this bias can serve as a motivating force that propels people to pursue their dreams, it can also lead to unrealistic expectations and subsequent disappointment if reality falls short of their hopeful outlook.

I have witnessed this phenomenon far too many times in my experience. People often express their aspirations to me, sometimes with an air of confidence that borders on naivety. To me, it can feel almost insulting because the true value and skill required to be a professional dancer is frequently misunderstood or underappreciated. It’s only when they actually embark on their journey of training as a professional dancer that they begin to grasp the level of cognitive skill, physical ability, and dedication needed to excel in the field.

To sum it up:

While optimism bias can fuel motivation and encourage individuals to chase their dreams, it’s essential to balance that optimism with a realistic understanding of the challenges involved. By acknowledging the complexities and hard work inherent in pursuing a career in dance—or any field—individuals can better prepare themselves for the journey ahead. This awareness allows for a more grounded approach to achieving their aspirations, fostering resilience and a greater appreciation for the dedication required to succeed.